Sports playing can be very profitable if an individual know the techniques this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that sensible money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s yoursite.com in point. I actually analyzed the particular Western Va vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West Va had the particular edge in the match. Nevertheless , I actually also came to the realization that there was a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not guarantee on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:

West Las vegas vs . Louisville

This video game features all the indicators of being one regarding the best games regarding the year, using equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from being down major in the next one fourth to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the action look like this year?

In the event this game were getting played with some sort of basic field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Virginia Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROUTE games.

These are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, the included reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a close match-up such as this, that extra point will certainly make the change between some sort of push together with a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home activities.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your house since 12 , 16, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for every game at your home, while averaging only quitting 15. 7 points for each game on home. In case an individual did not do the math concepts, that means considering that his or her last home reduction they have already averaged beating their own competitors simply by about 34 points per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, simply by 13 factors per sport at home since 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Nearly all of those stats ended up built up during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already had recent games by which they are yet to only scored 35, 3, 24 points. And these games weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is the fact that this is still a good close video game to get in touch with. Nevertheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s virtually no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off that game and not really wager at all. There usually are better activities this quick with more simple strengths.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big which they could very well still win right after making so many mistakes. By not betting on this sport, people significant with regards to wagering saved money they can put to better work with on coming games.